Abilene Chr
W-L: (14-18) PR = 95.1032Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A MCMUR 92-55 1106 A Omaha SM (16-17, 94.8) 73-71 1111 A SWADV **-63 1114 H SF Austin SL (28- 6, 96.3) 66-76 1118 H TX St-SM SB T (19-13, 95.4) 49-63 1124 A Texas-SA AME ( 5-25, 94.2) 61-50 1125 H Will&Mary CA (21-12, 95.7) 58-92 1128 A JARCH 87-55 1202 A Pepperdine WC ( 9-24, 94.6) 71-63 1206 A NM St CUSA (16-16, 95.3) 77-69 1216 H Arizona B12 (36- 3, 99.9) 62-96 1219 H BYU B12 (23-12, 98.2) 67-85 1222 A TX Southern SWAC T (12-18, 94.0) 75-68 101 H Utah Tech WAC U (18-15, 95.7) 64-79 103 A Utah Valley WAC U (25- 8, 96.6) 85-68 108 A Tarleton St WAC T (13-18, 95.2) 84-80 110 H UT Arlington WAC U (18-14, 95.7) 72-82 116 H Cal Baptist WAC C (23- 9, 96.4) 58-74 117 H So Utah WAC S (10-23, 94.6) 52-74 129 H Utah Tech WAC U (18-15, 95.7) 70-76 131 H So Utah WAC S (10-23, 94.6) 76-79 205 H Utah Valley WAC U (25- 8, 96.6) 55-68 207 H Cal Baptist WAC C (23- 9, 96.4) 63-65 212 A UT Arlington WAC U (18-14, 95.7) 67-63 214 A Tarleton St WAC T (13-18, 95.2) 73-59 216 H Tarleton St WAC T (13-18, 95.2) 62-65 221 A So Utah WAC S (10-23, 94.6) 87-83 226 H Utah Tech WAC U (18-15, 95.7) 81-85 228 H Utah Valley WAC U (25- 8, 96.6) 67-74 305 H Cal Baptist WAC C (23- 9, 96.4) 48-87 307 H UT Arlington WAC U (18-14, 95.7) 57-64 311 A Tarleton St WAC T (13-18, 95.2) 84-78
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1106 A Omaha 73-71 2 0 1.71
1114 H SF Austin 66-76 -10 -1 -0.80
1118 H TX St-SM 49-63 -14 0 -1.75
1124 A Texas-SA 61-50 11 1 1.07
1125 H Will&Mary 58-92 -34 -1 -1.44
1202 A Pepperdine 71-63 8 1 1.49
1206 A NM St 77-69 8 0 + 2.24
1216 H Arizona 62-96 -34 -5 0.00
1219 H BYU 67-85 -18 -3 0.00
1222 A TX Southern 75-68 7 1 0.93
101 H Utah Tech 64-79 -15 -1 -1.41
103 A Utah Valley 85-68 17 -1 + 3.47
108 A Tarleton St 84-80 4 0 + 2.09
110 H UT Arlington 72-82 -10 -1 -1.41
116 H Cal Baptist 58-74 -16 -1 -0.69
117 H So Utah 52-74 -22 1 - -2.55
129 H Utah Tech 70-76 -6 -1 -1.41
131 H So Utah 76-79 -3 1 - -2.55
205 H Utah Valley 55-68 -13 -1 -0.55
207 H Cal Baptist 63-65 -2 -1 -0.69
212 A UT Arlington 67-63 4 -1 + 2.61
214 A Tarleton St 73-59 14 0 + 2.09
216 H Tarleton St 62-65 -3 0 -1.93
221 A So Utah 87-83 4 1 1.47
226 H Utah Tech 81-85 -4 -1 -1.41
228 H Utah Valley 67-74 -7 -1 -0.55
305 H Cal Baptist 48-87 -39 -1 -0.69
307 H UT Arlington 57-64 -7 -1 -1.41
311 A Tarleton St 84-78 6 0 + 2.09
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 117 H So Utah 52-74 -22 1 - -2.55 131 H So Utah 76-79 -3 1 - -2.55 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1206 A NM St 77-69 8 0 + 2.24 103 A Utah Valley 85-68 17 -1 + 3.47 108 A Tarleton St 84-80 4 0 + 2.09 212 A UT Arlington 67-63 4 -1 + 2.61 214 A Tarleton St 73-59 14 0 + 2.09 311 A Tarleton St 84-78 6 0 + 2.09 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Omaha (16-17, 94.8) 73-71 -5.09 2.38 0.01 1.14 5.45
3 H SF Austin (28- 6, 96.3) 66-76 -3.58 3.89 -0.01 1.14 -2.05
3 H TX St-SM (19-13, 95.4) 49-63 -4.53 2.94 -0.01 1.14 -2.59
3 A Texas-SA ( 5-25, 94.2) 61-50 -5.73 1.74 0.01 1.14 3.99
3 H Will&Mary (21-12, 95.7) 58-92 -4.23 3.25 -0.01 1.14 -2.41
3 A Pepperdine ( 9-24, 94.6) 71-63 -5.32 2.16 0.01 1.14 4.93
3 A NM St (16-16, 95.3) 77-69 -4.57 2.91 0.01 1.14 6.64
3 H Arizona (36- 3, 99.9) 62-96 -0.00 7.48 -0.01 1.14 -0.01
3 H BYU (23-12, 98.2) 67-85 -1.73 5.74 -0.01 1.14 -0.99
3 A TX Southern (12-18, 94.0) 75-68 -5.88 1.60 0.01 1.14 3.67
3 H Utah Tech (18-15, 95.7) 64-79 -4.20 3.28 -0.01 1.14 -2.40
3 A Utah Valley (25- 8, 96.6) 85-68 -3.34 4.14 0.01 1.14 9.45
3 A Tarleton St (13-18, 95.2) 84-80 -4.72 2.76 0.01 1.14 6.31
3 H UT Arlington (18-14, 95.7) 72-82 -4.20 3.28 -0.01 1.14 -2.40
3 H Cal Baptist (23- 9, 96.4) 58-74 -3.48 4.00 -0.01 1.14 -1.99
3 H So Utah (10-23, 94.6) 52-74 -5.34 2.14 -0.01 1.14 -3.05
3 H Utah Tech (18-15, 95.7) 70-76 -4.20 3.28 -0.01 1.14 -2.40
3 H So Utah (10-23, 94.6) 76-79 -5.34 2.14 -0.01 1.14 -3.05
3 H Utah Valley (25- 8, 96.6) 55-68 -3.34 4.14 -0.01 1.14 -1.90
3 H Cal Baptist (23- 9, 96.4) 63-65 -3.48 4.00 -0.01 1.14 -1.99
3 A UT Arlington (18-14, 95.7) 67-63 -4.20 3.28 0.01 1.14 7.48
3 A Tarleton St (13-18, 95.2) 73-59 -4.72 2.76 0.01 1.14 6.31
3 H Tarleton St (13-18, 95.2) 62-65 -4.72 2.76 -0.01 1.14 -2.69
3 A So Utah (10-23, 94.6) 87-83 -5.34 2.14 0.01 1.14 4.88
3 H Utah Tech (18-15, 95.7) 81-85 -4.20 3.28 -0.01 1.14 -2.40
3 H Utah Valley (25- 8, 96.6) 67-74 -3.34 4.14 -0.01 1.14 -1.90
3 H Cal Baptist (23- 9, 96.4) 48-87 -3.48 4.00 -0.01 1.14 -1.99
3 H UT Arlington (18-14, 95.7) 57-64 -4.20 3.28 -0.01 1.14 -2.40
3 A Tarleton St (13-18, 95.2) 84-78 -4.72 2.76 0.01 1.14 6.31
------
26.85
|
winning pts = 65.4215 losing points = -38.5680
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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